The Pentagon’s China Syndrome

2011-09-03 (China Military News cited from http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/09/02/this_week_at_war_the_pentagons_china_syndrome”>foreignpolicy.com and by ROBERT HADDICK) — Last week, the Pentagon released its annual report on China’s military power. Although required by Congress, many administration officials no doubt view the report as an annoyance and needlessly provocative. Yet few can claim that the Pentagon, assisted by the interagency process, didn’t take the project seriously. This year’s edition was as detailed and comprehensive as any yet published. Even more notable, Barack Obama’s administration did not hesitate to increase the U.S. government’s level of alarm over Chinese military modernization. As he briefed the Pentagon press corps on the report, Michael Schiffer, deputy assistant secretary of defense for East Asia, asserted that China’s military investments are “potentially destabilizing to regional military balances, increase the risk of misunderstanding and miscalculation, and may contribute to regional tensions and anxieties.”

Equally alarming, the report discussed growing debates among China’s policymakers about whether China should assume a more assertive “great power” status, backed by its expanding military power. The report noted that until recently, China’s security strategy followed former paramount leader Deng Xiaoping’s advice to maintain a low profile and focus on internal development. Today, China’s growing nationalism, renewed attention to regional disputes, and concerns about access to global markets and raw materials over sea lines of communications have opened internal debates about whether China now needs to discard Deng’s long-standing advice.

The U.S. government has hoped to influence these debates inside China. The Pentagon’s Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) in 2006 explicitly stated an intention to “shape the choices of countries at strategic crossroads.” The 2010 QDR restated a commitment to enhancing deterrence, notably for “large-scale conflicts in environments where anti-access weaponry and tactics are used.” These missions were clearly aimed at China, with a goal of dissuading Beijing from challenging the U.S. strategic position in the Western Pacific.

The report noted that between 2000 and 2010, the Chinese government increased military spending at a 12.1 percent annual rate, accounting for inflation. Recently, military programs have included progress on China’s first aircraft carrier, first stealth fighter, new submarines, more amphibious shipping, new surface-to-air missiles systems, and further additions to its substantial inventories of land-attack ballistic and cruise missiles. The report concludes that China is preparing to extend the reach of its naval and air power beyond its regional waters and into the Indian Ocean and the central Pacific area.

The 2006 and 2010 QDRs aimed to influence China’s debate about its national security strategy. That debate remains unsettled. But the continued rapid expansion of China’s military power reveals that Chinese leaders believe such an investment will eventually provide useful leverage. U.S. military power in the Western Pacific is not “shaping the choices” as it hoped to in 2006. China’s leaders have not concluded that it is futile to challenge the U.S. military position in the region as the QDR reports hoped would be the case. This increases the odds of a clash over an area that both China and the United States and its allies in the region regard as economically and politically vital.


To persuade China that challenging the status quo is a waste of its resources, the United States needs to permanently increase its naval and air power in the region, while also reassuring China that the status quo is no threat to its interests. But with Pentagon spending facing a 5 to 10 percent cut over the next decade, something else is going to have to pay for such an expensive expansion in naval and air power. That something is the U.S. Army, which may be making plans to cut 10 or even 15 of its 45 active-duty brigade combat teams.

The Army, Navy, and Air Force have maintained a decades-long truce over money by agreeing to a roughly constant distribution of the Pentagon’s pie. The rise of China’s military and the demands that will place on naval and air power during a time of shrinking budgets is about to void that interservice treaty. This year’s report on China’s military power may spark a long-simmering budget war inside the Pentagon.

http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/09/02/this_week_at_war_the_pentagons_china_syndrome”>Original Full Article

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6 Responses to The Pentagon’s China Syndrome

  1. Hugo says:

    According to the Westerners’ thought cornerstone, to realize that the U.S. armed forces are several times mightier than others, so far as to bully other nations is seen as perfectly normal and acceptable due to a thought justified by some sort of a messianic concept that the West is the bearer of divine justice and therefore has the right to naturally impose itself on other countries.

    So when a non-Western nation assertively opposes this dogma, the West reacts as if its pride is wounded and automatically can go to war, blessed by the heaven, against this daring country, in order to prevent what the westerners call in such context, an unacceptable attack against the balance of forces.

    I do not know if this is the point of view of the people who lost their beloved ones under the countless criminal military invasions committed by the West.

  2. SamS says:

    It’s simple, since the cold war the pentagon and its warthogs have been actively searching for the next target to justify their $663.8 billion and increasing war machines. China is their new hope and is their paycheck guarantee.

  3. wtan says:

    The USA needs to label China a threat to the world so that it justifies their huge military spending. Also the US Military Industrial Complex which employs millions of employees and generates billions of dollars of sales has to be preserved and “The China threat” is their saviour. The real truth behind the so called China Threat has to be revealed to the world once and for all.

    However the bad news for these White Racists is that the US economy is now going into a terminal decline. They would like to increase military spending to counter China but the US is bankrupt. Massive cuts to the military budget will be inevitable. This will be humiliating to the White Racists who have long deluded themselves into believing that they are the master and superior race.
    I suppose all “good things” will come to an end one day.

    Almost 35% of the American polulation is now non-Caucasian and this has huge implications. America’s economy and demographics now resembles that of a South American country. America is becoming more like Brazil or Colombia which are
    Banana Republics where half the population lie under coconut trees and have siestas the whole day. In the future how this will impact America economically remains to be seen……..but it doesn’t look good. Also White people will very soon be in the minority and it may result in the US having a less aggressive and imperialistic foreign policy. This will probably be bad news for Japan,Korea and Australia which depend on the US.

  4. Tienfei says:

    The demographics will most likely evolve towards Latin American. And perhaps foreign policy will shift to something Latin American elites would most likely desire. But China shouldnt wait around for it. This wont occur immediately. In the mean time, China needs to take military spending very seriously. China isnt the Soviet Union, its not going to spend its way into the downfall of the CCCP. No country in the world is as financially solvent as the Chinese, but whats the point of having financial and economic resources, if you dont have the military to defend it? Its clear the americans want an arms race. And the Chinese should respond to it. I cant see how the Chinese could possibly lose an arms race.

  5. myth says:

    Attacking the Chinese Embassy in Yugoslavia with 6 laser guided 1000pd bombs,then saying its an accident?..Sure!! Sailiing the aircraft carriers in the Taiwan Straits, Flying spying @ recon missions all around China and countless other activties aimed at China…..the US and their asian lacky friends that only know how to say..YES BOSS-YES BOSS..still wonders why China is mondernizing its army. I just have to LMAO.

  6. myth says:

    The US and their asian lacky bitches wants more transparency to avoid miscalculations and misunderstandings.So the US is sending more warships and weapons all around China to, as the US puts it…to avoid miscalculations and misunderstandings….hahahahahaha….Henry Kissinger was right when he said its better to make China a friend than an enemy, but who the hell is KIssinger anyway.lol.

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